Tuesday, October 10, 2006

Top Odds of Going Undefeated Week Seven

The SEC has been reduced to a one-team horse in terms of producing an undefeated team. Since there is every reason to believe that the Big Ten and Big East will both produce an undefeated team, I think it’s safe to say that if Florida loses, the SEC is out of the National Title picture. I no longer expect USC to beat California. That game is a toss-up. My odds show just one undefeated team at this point but those odds have been increasing considerably each week. I still think there will be three undefeated teams. My odds will probably show two undefeated teams by the end of the weekend.

Top 9
(odds of going undefeated)

1 Ohio State------36.66%
2 Boise State-----31.16%
3 W. Virginia-----17.77%
4 Michigan-------17.25%
5 Louisville-------15.07%
6 USC-------------12.03%
7 Florida-----------4.41%
8 Missouri---------0.83%
9 Rutgers----------0.56%

Teams that dropped from last week’s list (along with pre-season rank in terms of odds): #14 Georgia, #16 Auburn, #31 Oregon

Biggest Jump (percentage): Ohio State, Boise State, and Missouri all had significant increases due to adjusted game odds. No team had a particular big jump this week otherwise. USC actually went down considerably due to an adjustment in its game odds.

Current overall chance of undefeated team(s) (100%=1 undefeated team, 200%=2 undefeated teams etc.): 135.75%

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